Me likey bouncey

Gallup’s 3-day tracking poll for today shows that the R’s have halved the D’s advantage from an 8-point high 3 days ago to 4 points today. The 3-day released September 2 had Obama on top by 50-42% while today’s has it at 48-44. Since the polling for today’s release was conducted Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, the new numbers only reflect roughly 1/3 of any bounce from Palin’s speech on Wednesday night, and not much from McCain’s speech last night. (Some of the polling on each day could have occurred after that same night’s speech, presumably for folks further west.)

Pretty decent numbers for McCain-Palin. We won’t see the full effect of any RNC bounce in this poll until Monday, but that’ll include 2 weekend days which tend to skew results. So in theory we’d need to wait until Thursday, but by then of course there will be new things happening which will likely affect the results.

Rasmussen’s 3-day, with the same 3-day caveats, has a statistical tie with Obama over McCain, 46-45. It’s 48-46 with leaners.

More interesting perhaps is Rasmussen’s attitude survey.

Palin’s favorability is at 58% (Obama and McCain are tied at 57, Biden is at 48). This, I think, is a significant factoid:

Among unaffiliated voters, favorable opinions of McCain have increased by eleven percentage points in a week—from 54% before the Palin announcement to 65% today.

That’s a big jump. And the following graf has a certain bombshell quality about it:

However, following the Wednesday night speech, voters are fairly evenly divided as to whether Palin or Obama has the better experience to be President. Forty-four percent (44%) of voters say Palin has the better experience while 48% say Obama has the edge. Among unaffiliated voters, 45% say Obama has better experience while 42% say Palin.

Obama leads among unaffiliated voters on this question by 3%. That’s comparing the top of one ticket to the bottom of the other!

I’m looking forward to the next Quinnipiac for Ohio. I think Palin’s going to be a big hit here.

8 comments on “Me likey bouncey”

  1. Posted by Ben K | Sep 5, 2008 2:52 pm

    First to your post below. McCain did what he had to do - his way. Its what he knows and anything else would have backfired. He was exactly right to keep speaking over the cheers at the end.

    On the polls. IMO today is more of a reflection of the extremely Democratic Labor Day samples rolling off more than anything - you should not be polling on Labor Day, and in fact, Rasmussen did not in 04 - but because of the timing he kind of had to this year. We will know a lot more by the end of next week when everything shakes out.

  2. Posted by Brian | Sep 5, 2008 4:40 pm

    It’s kind of hard to distinguish the Labor Day anomaly from the Obama speech bounce. The Labor Day thing doesn’t look too big in any case. But I don’t disagree with anything you wrote.

  3. Posted by LisaRenee | Sep 7, 2008 10:13 pm

    http://news.yahoo.com/story//politico/20080907/pl_politico/13228

    I was just sent this by email:

    John McCain has overtaken Barack Obama in the Gallup daily tracking poll and has his highest level of support in that poll since early May.

    McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 45 percent among registered voters, by Gallup’s measure. McCain has so far earned the same convention bounce as Obama, though at a more rapid pace.

  4. Posted by Ben K | Sep 8, 2008 2:44 am

    I think the Labor Day / Obama speech effect came together.

  5. Posted by Mike D. | Nov 6, 2008 4:15 pm

    Sorry to gloat, but I’ve lived in a red state for the last eight years that finally saw the errors of its ways. Sorry about McCain’s luck.

  6. Posted by ashlee d | Mar 11, 2009 10:31 pm

    Me likey bouncy…:
    The only place i could find to comment that i will not be watching anymore NBC until they pull the ad re: NBC for your health; supporting a local cosmetic surgeon and his boob jobs as if it were for a womens health & self-esteem.Andrea Camburn, or whatever the your name is… here i come, goodbye Office. NBC local news, you are the Bottom of pile of crap that is local news and i will make it my new project to make sure all of NBC knows what your choices are. My family will not watch, the customers i serve will be told. Take it off. Apologize for your awful, money hungry move and do some reconstruction of the teenagers psyche that YOU have helped damage.

  7. Posted by Mesquite accident attorney | Jan 12, 2011 3:22 am

    I’d like to say that you simply always provide clear information and and also an avid reader of your site for quite a while. Just wanted to thank you really for all the nice work you do!

  8. Posted by Interview Questions and Answers | Sep 15, 2011 11:45 am

    I love your blog, you should add an RSS feed feature so I can get automatic notifications of new blogs. If you set one up please email me! i will bookmark you for now. Again Excellent Blog!

Leave a comment

The Feed

4 Primary Payroll Options for Expatriates that All HR Departments should kn

Dealing with expatriates is tricky when it comes to payroll – and it can be an employers’ worst nightmare trying to make sure all legal....

Columbusite

Jul 25, 2014 6:33 pm

ADS closes 1st day up slightly

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. closed its first day as a publicly traded company at $16.15 a share. The Hilliard company lauched its IPO Friday, a....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 3:22 pm

Human Resource Management Lecture Part 04 – Candidate Selection (1 of 2)

Human Resource Management Lecture Part 04 – Candidate Selection (1 of 2) During a company’s recruiting process how are the most....

Columbusite

Jul 25, 2014 3:15 pm

Ohio re-ups BlackRock as 529 savings plan manager

The Ohio Tuition Trust Authority has re-signed BlackRock Advisors LLC to a seven-year contract to manage most of the state’s tax-advantaged college....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 2:34 pm

Hackman Capital riding wave of Southeast Industrial Park sales

One last blog, if I may, on that Southeast Industrial Park deal I wrote about earlier this month and then again as the Done Deal feature in our....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 2:01 pm

Wagenbrenner on Harrison Park: ‘Made sense to pull down some chips’

Columbus developer Mark Wagenbrenner told me the sale of the Harrison Park Apartments stemmed from the torrid pace of development his company has....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 1:44 pm

Boom time for new restaurants at Polaris

It’s a good time to be hungry in the Polaris area. The bustling retail strip is always a haven for restaurant activity, but seems to be especially....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 12:34 pm

First Financial gets OK for Insight, First Bexley deals

First Financial Bancorp has earned regulatory approval for its purchases of Insight and First Bexley banks, the Cincinnati company said 40 days after....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 12:26 pm

How to succeed in business by failing: 3rd startup’s the charm for EduSou

David Comisford is living the startup mantra that failure can be the best thing to happen to an entrepreneur – but only if it leads to....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 12:22 pm

Wal-Mart: Our AEP bill is too complicated

The world’s largest company says one of the country’s biggest utilities makes its electricity bill too complicated. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. says....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 11:58 am

Astute Solutions lands private equity investment, promises expansion

Software maker Astute Solutions will expand its Columbus and overseas offices following an investment from a private equity firm. The funding from....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 11:22 am

The Market Italian Village Opens for Private Party on Sunday

Italian Village residents, rejoice! Your long-awaited The Market is launching with a private opening party this Sunday for attendees of the Columbus....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 25, 2014 11:21 am

Advanced Drainage Systems goes public, raising $232M

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. completed its initial public offering Friday, but its shares commanded less than what the company had hoped. The....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 11:01 am

Cargo handler CAS to help drive exports from Rickenbacker

Rickenbacker International Airport will lease space to one of the country’s largest ground-handling companies in a development that puts....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 10:50 am

Fracking powers demand for AEP in 2Q

The fracking boom continues to drive industrial power use at American Electric Power Company Inc., especially in Ohio’s Utica shale region. The....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 10:27 am

Photo Tour: 2014 Ohio State Fair

With more than half of Ohio's land area – nearly 14 million acres – used for agricultural purposes, it's not surprising that the Ohio State....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 10:16 am

Our Mutual Friend: Peletonia Benefit at Park Street Patio

We share music with one another for a myriad of reasons; It can bring a tear to the eye, a dozen goosebumps down your spine or surface a memory you....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 25, 2014 8:33 am

Columbus Foundation Awards 375K to Charter School

Would you believe that one of the highest performing public middle schools in Franklin county is a charter school? Columbus Collegiate Academy has....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 25, 2014 7:31 am

Columbus Foundation Awards 375K to Charter School

Would you believe that one of the highest performing public middle schools in Franklin county is a charter school? Columbus Collegiate Academy has....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 25, 2014 7:31 am

First Look: Double Comfort Restaurant

Double Comfort Restaurant, the social enterprise which donates a meal to a food pantry for every meal sold, opened quietly this past Saturday, July....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 25, 2014 6:40 am

Morning Edition: OSU fires band director over culture of ‘sexual harassme

An investigation has revealed some “serious cultural issues” within Ohio State University’s marching band and its director has been fired, the....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 6:25 am

Spotlight: Paul Groves, Safelite Group

Paul Groves Assistant vice president, supply chain, Safelite Group Age: 42 Vitals: Bachelor of Science in business administration, Franklin....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 25, 2014 5:00 am

RealtyTrac: More than half a million Ohio residences remain 'seriously

Just over one quarter of Ohio residential properties have values well under their outstanding mortgages, a report from the RealtyTrac real estate....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 4:19 pm

Human Resources Video – Disciplinary Meeting

Human Resources Video – Disciplinary Meeting Disciplinary Meeting

Columbusite

Jul 24, 2014 3:36 pm

Ohio gathering health work force data, exploring ways to extend doctors’

Ohio may need more doctors, but what it really needs is to get doctors more help, says Dr. Ted Wymyslo, the former state health director. Involving....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 1:43 pm

Wagenbrenner sells Harrison Park Apartments to Nebraska investor

Columbus multifamily developer Wagenbrenner Development has sold off a recently minted apartment complex in the Short North’s Harrison West....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 1:24 pm

American-US Airways merger helps lift Port Columbus passenger traffic

More airline passengers traveled through Port Columbus International Airport during the first half of 2014 than in the previous year, thanks in....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 1:03 pm

Mega Summer Weekend 2014 – Vol. 10

Happy Weekend everyone! Our Backpack School Supply Drive is underway, lots of stores are offering deals on school supplies and you can drop off....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 24, 2014 1:00 pm

TransCanada considering 500-mile natural gas pipeline from Ohio to shores o

TransCanada Corp. wants to build a 500-mile natural gas pipeline from Monroe County to the shores of Lake Michigan that, if built, would add a lot of....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 12:49 pm

Stone Brewing kicks off crowd-funding campaign for projects in eastern U.S.

Stone Brewing Co. hasn’t picked a city for its operations east of the Mississippi, but it is turning to the public to speed up construction. The....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 12:11 pm

GCAC Presents: Sculptor Al-Hadid, Alum Essenhigh Featured In CCAD’s Summe

Series kicks off September 4, 2014. Realist/surrealist sculptures, high-gloss paintings, and installations big and small fill the Canzani Center....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 24, 2014 12:00 pm

First Look: Bob Evans rolling out new restaurant prototype

When a new Bob Evans opens in your town, you’re going to notice it. The New Albany-based restaurant and food products company is opening new....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 11:35 am

Retail sales expected to rebound in year’s second half, trade group repor

Retail sales are expected to improve in the second half of 2014, but not enough to make up for a disappointing first six months. The National....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 11:14 am

AEP fixes typo, ready to start recovering derecho costs from customers in A

Even one of the country’s biggest utilities can fall victim to a typo. The Public Utilities Commission of Ohio in April approved a request by....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 10:49 am

Report: Half of health-care’s work force has less than bachelor’s-level

Half of the health care work force in metropolitan Columbus is in one of 10 occupations requiring an associate’s degree or lower level of....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 9:41 am

Ohio Bureau of Workers’ Compensation reaches $420M settlement over rigged

The Ohio Bureau of Workers’ Compensation has reached a $420 million settlement over a years-long legal battle for allegations it overcharged....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 9:21 am

Catch Up With: Sweet Carrot Food Truck

Did you know that Sweet Carrot is an anagram of Two Caterers? Well, it is, and it’s the reason why Angela Petro, who launched Two Caterers some....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 24, 2014 7:24 am

Food Challenge: Good Luck Ramen at Rishi Sushi

Summer is competitive eating season. Nathan’s Hot Dog challenge always sets the tone in early July with its famous hot dog excess. We’ve looked....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 24, 2014 6:40 am

Morning Roundup: Peet's Coffee closings, fire fighters worried about fr

Peet's Coffee closing seven Ohio shops, fire fighters want more information on fracking chemicals, Wells Fargo closing a commercial real estate....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 6:13 am

National Roundup: Facebook profit soars, Google unlikely to bid for Time Wa

John Malone, of the Liberty Global (NASDAQ: LBTYA) media empire, weighed in on 21st Century Fox's (NASDAQ: FOX) reported $80 billion bid for Time....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 24, 2014 5:56 am

Careers in Human Resources Management

Careers in Human Resources Management Panelists: * Rodney Mano – Regional Human Resources Manager, Cineplex Entertainment * Dahlia Levitin....

Columbusite

Jul 23, 2014 5:10 pm

Meet Create-A-Space – a Dublin traveler’s invention to end airplane arm

In decades of corporate air travel, Ken Friedlander has had his seat space invaded plenty of times – and he admits, at times, to unwittingly being....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 3:36 pm

Create Columbus Commission Grant Funds 11 Community Projects

The Create Columbus Commission announced this morning that $82,000 is being distributed to the community through the latest round of their grant....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 23, 2014 2:36 pm

CFBank’s Worthington-based parent completes $12M capital raise

Central Federal Corp., the Worthington-based holding company of CFBank, has completed its $12 million capital raise, selling 480,000 preferred shares....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 2:35 pm

Small-business survey finds HR challenges as firms grow to 10-15 workers

Small businesses seeking to grow beyond a dozen employees find that their hiring challenges become more complex but are still too small for a....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 1:54 pm

Pepper spray with camera device turns to Indiegogo

The Defender is a lipstick-sized security device that with a single button snaps a photo of an assailant, alerts authorities, blasts a siren and....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 1:39 pm

Most expensive college football tickets – COUNTDOWN

While the Southeastern Conference gets most of the love when national pundits talk about the best teams in college football, it can’t top the Big....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 1:17 pm

Foreclosures largely stable through first half of 2014

Foreclosures of residential and commercial properties are up slightly through the first half of the year in Franklin County. After writing last week....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 12:51 pm

Back to School Supply Drive through August 7

It’s hard to imagine that summer could already be two-thirds over, but it is and that means it’s almost time for back to school. Schools....

The Walker Evans Effect

Jul 23, 2014 12:43 pm

Utica shale ‘sweet spot’ still to be found, report says

Not much is certain in Ohio’s Utica shale play. Some companies, like Magnum Hunter Resources Corp. (NYSE:MHR) and American Energy Partners,....

Business First of Columbus

Jul 23, 2014 12:43 pm