Me likey bouncey

Gallup’s 3-day tracking poll for today shows that the R’s have halved the D’s advantage from an 8-point high 3 days ago to 4 points today. The 3-day released September 2 had Obama on top by 50-42% while today’s has it at 48-44. Since the polling for today’s release was conducted Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, the new numbers only reflect roughly 1/3 of any bounce from Palin’s speech on Wednesday night, and not much from McCain’s speech last night. (Some of the polling on each day could have occurred after that same night’s speech, presumably for folks further west.)

Pretty decent numbers for McCain-Palin. We won’t see the full effect of any RNC bounce in this poll until Monday, but that’ll include 2 weekend days which tend to skew results. So in theory we’d need to wait until Thursday, but by then of course there will be new things happening which will likely affect the results.

Rasmussen’s 3-day, with the same 3-day caveats, has a statistical tie with Obama over McCain, 46-45. It’s 48-46 with leaners.

More interesting perhaps is Rasmussen’s attitude survey.

Palin’s favorability is at 58% (Obama and McCain are tied at 57, Biden is at 48). This, I think, is a significant factoid:

Among unaffiliated voters, favorable opinions of McCain have increased by eleven percentage points in a week—from 54% before the Palin announcement to 65% today.

That’s a big jump. And the following graf has a certain bombshell quality about it:

However, following the Wednesday night speech, voters are fairly evenly divided as to whether Palin or Obama has the better experience to be President. Forty-four percent (44%) of voters say Palin has the better experience while 48% say Obama has the edge. Among unaffiliated voters, 45% say Obama has better experience while 42% say Palin.

Obama leads among unaffiliated voters on this question by 3%. That’s comparing the top of one ticket to the bottom of the other!

I’m looking forward to the next Quinnipiac for Ohio. I think Palin’s going to be a big hit here.

8 comments on “Me likey bouncey”

  1. Posted by Ben K | Sep 5, 2008 2:52 pm

    First to your post below. McCain did what he had to do - his way. Its what he knows and anything else would have backfired. He was exactly right to keep speaking over the cheers at the end.

    On the polls. IMO today is more of a reflection of the extremely Democratic Labor Day samples rolling off more than anything - you should not be polling on Labor Day, and in fact, Rasmussen did not in 04 - but because of the timing he kind of had to this year. We will know a lot more by the end of next week when everything shakes out.

  2. Posted by Brian | Sep 5, 2008 4:40 pm

    It’s kind of hard to distinguish the Labor Day anomaly from the Obama speech bounce. The Labor Day thing doesn’t look too big in any case. But I don’t disagree with anything you wrote.

  3. Posted by LisaRenee | Sep 7, 2008 10:13 pm

    http://news.yahoo.com/story//politico/20080907/pl_politico/13228

    I was just sent this by email:

    John McCain has overtaken Barack Obama in the Gallup daily tracking poll and has his highest level of support in that poll since early May.

    McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 45 percent among registered voters, by Gallup’s measure. McCain has so far earned the same convention bounce as Obama, though at a more rapid pace.

  4. Posted by Ben K | Sep 8, 2008 2:44 am

    I think the Labor Day / Obama speech effect came together.

  5. Posted by Mike D. | Nov 6, 2008 4:15 pm

    Sorry to gloat, but I’ve lived in a red state for the last eight years that finally saw the errors of its ways. Sorry about McCain’s luck.

  6. Posted by ashlee d | Mar 11, 2009 10:31 pm

    Me likey bouncy…:
    The only place i could find to comment that i will not be watching anymore NBC until they pull the ad re: NBC for your health; supporting a local cosmetic surgeon and his boob jobs as if it were for a womens health & self-esteem.Andrea Camburn, or whatever the your name is… here i come, goodbye Office. NBC local news, you are the Bottom of pile of crap that is local news and i will make it my new project to make sure all of NBC knows what your choices are. My family will not watch, the customers i serve will be told. Take it off. Apologize for your awful, money hungry move and do some reconstruction of the teenagers psyche that YOU have helped damage.

  7. Posted by Mesquite accident attorney | Jan 12, 2011 3:22 am

    I’d like to say that you simply always provide clear information and and also an avid reader of your site for quite a while. Just wanted to thank you really for all the nice work you do!

  8. Posted by Interview Questions and Answers | Sep 15, 2011 11:45 am

    I love your blog, you should add an RSS feed feature so I can get automatic notifications of new blogs. If you set one up please email me! i will bookmark you for now. Again Excellent Blog!

Leave a comment

The Feed

NHL exec on All-Star Game prep, Winter Classic at Ohio Stadium

National Hockey League executives were in Columbus Thursday to iron out details of the 2015 NHL All-Star Game less than 90 days ahead of festivities....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 4:13 pm

Harvest Pizza Owner Opening New Restaurant Concept at 250 High

Local restaurateur Chris Crader is on track to open four highly-acclaimed restaurants in just five years. He launched Harvest Pizzeria in German....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 3:07 pm

Friendship Village of Dublin mulling $40M-$60M expansion as it completes 20

Friendship Village of Dublin's board is evaluating projects to include in a $40 million to $60 million master plan for renovating and expanding. The....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 3:03 pm

Big natural gas processing complex opening in Monroe County

The Berne processing complex in Monroe County, which has the capacity to hold three plants each processing 200 million cubic feet per day of natural....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 2:57 pm

Mega Fall Weekend 2014 – Vol. 6

Chilly, chilly! Happy Halloween Weekend #2 everyone! Be on the lookout for Trick or Treaters tonight throughout Columbus and surrounding....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 1:00 pm

Restaurant coming to 250 S. High St. from owners of Harvest Pizzeria

Developers of the apartment and office complex getting built at 250 S. High St. have secured the owners of the Grow Restaurants LLC collection of....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 1:00 pm

Here’s why phrases like ‘Star spangled hammered’ are worth $4M

There are a lot of T-shirt companies out there. I mean, a lot. But the one that's worth $4.25 million to top e-commerce investors is the one that....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 12:56 pm

Huntington renews $2.5M naming-rights deal for Toledo arena

Huntington Bancshares Inc. will hold onto the second of its two stadium naming-rights deals in Ohio by extending its sponsorship of Toledo's downtown....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 12:27 pm

Sears cutting 274 jobs at product rebuild centers

Columbus was spared in the latest round of Sears and Kmart store closings, but the city is still feeling the ax of the downsizing company. Hoffman....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 11:58 am

Blaze Pizza taking Red Robin space by OSU campus for Central Ohio debut

Blaze Fast-Fire'd Pizza isn't just fast in the kitchen. The Pasadena, Calif.-based restaurant chain's expansion has been rapid too. It has grown....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 11:42 am

NiSource’s proposed Mountaineer XPress pipeline ‘could be sizable’

NiSource Inc. appears to have another big Utica and Marcellus pipeline on the way. The parent company of Columbia Gas of Ohio sought natural gas....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 11:26 am

Food-delivery trend gets addition of True Food

Shawn Ehmann knows he can teach people to eat healthier – but it sure doesn't hurt to put that food right onto the table. Ehmann and his wife....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 11:19 am

Solar could be as cheap as electricity very soon

Solar energy is fast becoming an affordable energy generator and could be as cheap as average electricity prices in 47 states by 2016. There's one....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 10:53 am

Costco adding solar array at Polaris store

The first Costco Wholesale Corp. store in Central Ohio plans to install solar panels on its roof. The 151,000-square-foot-store at 1500 Gemini Place....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 10:05 am

Franklin County infrastructure loan fund aimed at boosting development proj

Franklin County officials have outlined the first of three community development programs fueled by the 0.25-percent sales tax increase that took....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 9:55 am

WesBanco doubles down in Pennsylvania with $324M buyout of ESB Financial

WesBanco Inc., which operates a dozen bank branches in Central Ohio, will more than double its office network in Pennsylvania with a planned $324.4....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 8:46 am

Morning Roundup: Victoria's Secret facing backlash over 'perfect bo

In today's roundup: Backlash for Victoria's Secret's latest marketing campaign, Workers' Comp examination finds fault with fraud investigations, Ohio....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 6:48 am

Sci-Fi Spoof ‘Space Station 76′ Screening at Studio 35

It has been a whole year since the Columbus Film Council’s annual event – the nation’s longest running film festival – plied us with mead and....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 6:10 am

Drexel/Fright Club Halloween Bash

It’s Halloween! And do you know what puts fun size trick or treat candies to shame? Movie size candies. So spatter yourself with blood, grab those....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 6:10 am

Award Winning Horror Shorts Terrorize Gateway Film Center

Support independent cinema while keeping Halloween alive by checking out Seven Hells, a horror anthology pulled together by celebrated local....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 6:10 am

National Roundup: Apple Pay rival MCX may copy tech giant on mobile payment

Days after a pair of members blocked Apple Pay and all other near-field communication forms of payments at their stores, a group of retailers....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 6:01 am

GCAC Presents: It’s Not Just the Music, It’s the Experience

I was recently reading through audience surveys from a CityMusic concert event when I stumbled upon a comment made by a long-time supporter of the....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 30, 2014 6:00 am

Print Syndicate raises $4.25M from investors, including CEOs of Groupon and

Print Syndicate LLC, an online retailer of pop culture-infused designs, has closed a $4.25 million financing round led by Boston venture capital....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 30, 2014 6:00 am

Human Resources Trailer

Human Resources Trailer Kickstart the game now! https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/… Check out the game on the web:....

Columbusite

Oct 29, 2014 11:45 pm

New CrossFit Gym Opens in Italian Village

Eventually, the southwest corner of 5th and Summit will be home to a new five-story mixed-use apartment building called Burwell on Summit, with a....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 29, 2014 5:13 pm

Foreclosures less of a drag on housing market in 3Q

The number of distressed residential properties continue their decline at a rapid pace in Central Ohio. A release from Columbus Realtors shows the....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 1:34 pm

Banking vet Harvey Glick helping revive struggling North Carolina bank

Central Ohio banking veteran Harvey Glick has found his next project. The former CEO of Worthington's Insight Bank, which was acquired last....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 1:28 pm

Wish your company would go a different direction? Buy it

Chris Cameron's first job out of college was with Accent Communication Services Inc., where he spent seven years in sales. But he grew restless....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 1:19 pm

Construction Roundup: October 2014 – Part 3

Over the past two days, we’ve showcased photos from construction sites located in and around Downtown Columbus and its adjacent neighborhoods.....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 29, 2014 12:21 pm

Falling prices for oil, natural gas hurting producers even as consumers ben

Falling gasoline prices have always been good for the economy, allowing consumers to spend money elsewhere instead of on refueling their vehicles. ....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 11:57 am

Here are updates on Local Cantina, Aladdin’s, Giorgio and Graffiti Burger

Local Cantina slings tacos, mixed drinks and craft beer, but its owner points to a simpler offering for its success. "Every Mexican place has free....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 11:20 am

13 Ohio suburbs ranked among America’s best – COUNTDOWN

Ohio isn't home to the No. 1 suburb in America, but it counts 13 of the top 50, more than any state in the U.S. That's according to Business....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 11:19 am

Red Robin’s Burger Works by OSU campus has closed

There is one fewer better-burger restaurant in Columbus. Greenwood Village, Colorado-based Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. closed its Red Robin's....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 10:52 am

Judgment Day: School Lunch

Adults like to have opinions on school lunch programs. The food should be organic. The food should be farm-fresh. The food should be low fat and....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 29, 2014 10:21 am

SunDown Fund for lifestyle businesses joins Angel Capital Association

The investment fund for lifestyle businesses being raised by SunDown RunDown Group has joined the national Angel Capital Association in what founder....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 10:21 am

Commercial Vehicle Group exec to lead global construction and agriculture b

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. has promoted from within to replace the outgoing chief of one of its signature divisions. Geoff Perich replaces Kevin....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 9:54 am

Kasich: Proposed frack tax ‘a complete and total ripoff’

Ohio Gov. John Kasich had strong words for the oil and gas industry in a Tuesday candidate forum. The state legislature has feuded over how much....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 9:39 am

Restaurant Review: Club 185

Club 185 doesn’t need publicity. It’s rarely empty, the spot feeds the business crowd at lunch time, and morphs into a busy bar by happy hour.....

The Walker Evans Effect

Oct 29, 2014 9:20 am

Morning Roundup: Columbus a magnet for the young and educated, "Humongotron

In today's roundup: Columbus is a magnet for the young and educated, a store dedicated to drones is opening in Dayton, Cleveland Positively becomes....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 6:54 am

National Roundup: Why investors are disappointed with Facebook (Video)

Today's video: Why investors are disappointed with Facebook Even though Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) reported profit and revenue that either met or....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 29, 2014 6:23 am

After Archie reaches Sweet 16 – who’s next as the top football Buckeye?

The search for who's next as the greatest Ohio State University football player behind Archie Griffin, arguably the best Buckeye, moves to the next....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 4:34 pm

Heismans, defensive stars mark Sweet 16 in After Archie race

Ohio State University's Heisman Trophy winners moved to the Sweet 16 match-ups in our quest to identify who follows Archie Griffin as the....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 4:33 pm

Scotts forms Hawthorne Gardening Co. to target Millennials

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. is forging ahead with plans to target the growing indoor and urban gardening market. The Marysville lawn and garden giant has....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 4:03 pm

Credit Union of Ohio on the hook for $165,000 rent payment to Ohio State Un

Credit Union of Ohio will be on the hook for $165,000 in rent owed to Ohio State University as it moves next door on Neil Avenue about 18 months....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 2:17 pm

First Look: Cameron Mitchell’s flagship Ocean Prime in Beverly Hills

Cameron Mitchell opened the first of a pair of high-profile Ocean Prime restaurants Tuesday. Ask a Central Ohioan to name a Cameron Mitchell....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 2:00 pm

Heismans, defensive stars mark Sweet 16 in After Archie race

Ohio State University's Heisman Trophy winners moved to the Sweet 16 match-ups in our quest to identify who follows Archie Griffin as the greatest....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 1:57 pm

Dale Earnhardt Jr. promotes coal in new video

Dale Earnhardt Jr. wants you to get out and vote for coal in next week's election. The NASCAR driver, who has been the most popular racer for 11....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 1:23 pm

Midwest sees 86 M&A deals among banks and thrifts so far in 2014

The number of banking mergers is picking up nationally and the Midwest is again proving the most-active location, in part because of the sheer....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 1:07 pm

Metro Development planning residential project between Westerville and New

Metro Development is scheduled to go before Columbus City Council on Monday to begin the annexation process for nearly 70 acres at Ulry and Warner....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 1:01 pm

Ohio State launches podcast focusing on manufacturing innovation

Podcast listeners tend to like educational programs – the top 20 iTunes podcast list is filled with breezy, informative shows. An Ohio State....

Business First of Columbus

Oct 28, 2014 12:49 pm